An Early Look at the 2012 Election

A Haiku about President Obama's Reelection Prospects

The economy:

If strong, he wins; if weak, fails;

If so-so, who knows?

Setting the context:

The 2012 dashboard

The economy is always a big force:



So is presidential approval

Why was the bin Laden bump so modest?

Ratings of the parties on issues.

Democratic hope: an unelectable Republican

So let's play electoral college chess...

An uneven Senate landscape.

Outside money:

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