America's Demographic Future

Jens Manuel Krogstad at Pew:

Today’s newborns also offer a glimpse into the nation’s future demographics. In 2018, more than one-in-four of the nation’s newborns were Hispanic. By 2060, Hispanics are projected to make up 27% of the overall U.S. population, according to Census Bureau projections from 2017.

More broadly, slightly more than half of all babies born in the United States today are a racial or ethnic minority, a threshold first crossed in 2015. Racial and ethnic minorities are expected to make up more than half of the total U.S. population in coming decades. They currently make up about 40% of the overall population, with the share projected to increase to 56% by 2060, according to Census Bureau projections. In 2018, there were five states – Hawaii, California, New Mexico, Texas and Nevada – plus the District of Columbia where minority groups made up more than half of the population.