Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Crime Is Down

Many posts have discussed crime in the United States.

From the Bureau of Justice Statistics:

Data from the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) indicate that in 2023, the rate of nonfatal violent victimization in the United States was 22.5 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older, which was similar to the 2022 rate of 23.5 violent victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older. Violent victimization includes rape or sexual assault, robbery, aggravated assault and simple assault. “Findings show that there was an overall decline in the rate of violent victimization over the last three decades, from 1993 to 2023,” said Kevin M. Scott, Ph.D., BJS Acting Director. “While the 2023 rate was higher than those in 2020 and 2021, it was not statistically different from the rate 5 years ago, in 2019.” 

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 These findings are from the NCVS, a self-report survey administered annually from January 1 to December 31. Annual estimates are based on the number and characteristics of crimes that respondents experienced during the prior 6 months, excluding the month in which they were interviewed. The survey collects information on threatened, attempted and completed crimes and on crimes reported and not reported to police.

Criminal Victimization, 2023, written by BJS Statisticians Susannah N. Tapp, Ph.D., and Emilie J. Coen, Dr.P.H.; related documents; and additional information about BJS’s statistical publications and programs are available on the BJS website at bjs.ojp.gov. The NCVS Dashboard (N-DASH), an interactive online data visualization dashboard, and the NCVS API have been updated with 2023 data. BJS will also release a series of infographics highlighting key findings from the 2023 NCVS.

From the FBI:

The FBI released detailed data on over 14 million criminal offenses for 2023 reported to the Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program by participating law enforcement agencies. More than 16,000 state, county, city, university and college, and tribal agencies, covering a combined population of 94.3% inhabitants, submitted data to the UCR Program through the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) and the Summary Reporting System.

The FBI’s crime statistics estimates, based on reported data for 2023, show that national violent crime decreased an estimated 3.0% in 2023 compared to 2022 estimates:
  • Murder and non-negligent manslaughter recorded a 2023 estimated nationwide decrease of 11.6% compared to the previous year.
  • In 2023, the estimated number of offenses in the revised rape category saw an estimated 9.4% decrease.
  • Aggravated assault figures decreased an estimated 2.8% in 2023.
  • Robbery showed an estimated decrease of 0.3% nationally.
In 2023, 16,009 agencies participated in the hate crime collection, with a population coverage of 95.2%. Law enforcement agencies submitted incident reports involving 11,862 criminal incidents and 13,829 related offenses as being motivated by bias toward race, ethnicity, ancestry, religion, sexual orientation, disability, gender, and gender identity.

To publish a national trend, the FBI’s UCR Program used a dataset of reported hate crime incidents and zero reports submitted by agencies reporting six or more common months or two or more common quarters (six months) of hate crime data to the FBI’s UCR Program for both 2022 and 2023. According to this dataset, reported hate crime incidents decreased 0.6% from 10,687 in 2022 to 10,627 in 2023.

The complete analysis is located on the FBI’s Crime Data Explorer.